President Goodluck Jonathan has taken a
great deal of flak for Boko Haram. Some of it are deserved – the
protracted pussyfooting that hinted at a government hopelessly confused;
and the squandering of a large chunk of the budget in the name of
national security.
A lot, however, is undeserved. Nigerians
are now given to speaking as though Jonathan started the crisis,
forgetting that since 1979, every Nigerian government has tried – and
mostly failed – to deal with the dangerous spectre of extremist Islam;
and that what is happening now is that it has now fallen upon Jonathan
to inherit the legacy of decades of mishandling religious crises.
There is also the fact that much of the
blame should go, not to the Federal Government, but to the state
governments and local politicians – many of whom actually belong to an
opposition party, not the PDP –who created and perpetuated the
conditions for the tragedy we are today experiencing (more on that
later).
Shamefully, the President’s opponents
themselves are not helping matters. None of them has demonstrated any
evidence that they’d handle the Boko Haram matter given the chance. So,
all we get is criticism of a flailing President, but no sensible or
coherent strategy on the possible solutions to a crisis that may
eventually consume all of us.
Let’s take Maj.-Gen. Muhammadu Buhari
(retd) for example, who, 30 years ago led a military offensive similar
to the one he’s now loudly condemning. This is how historian Max Siollun
describes it, in his forthcoming book, “Soldiers of Fortune: Nigerian
politics under Buhari and Babangida”:
“Buhari was in charge of troops sent to
Nigeria’s north-eastern border region in 1983 to prevent infiltration by
armed rebels from the neighbouring Republic of Chad. After his troops
successfully cleared the Chadian rebels from the border area, the troops
advanced several kilometres into Chadian territory. The political
hierarchy ordered Buhari to withdraw his troops, but he refused, arguing
that the Chadian rebels would return to the area as soon as his troops
departed. Buhari’s view was that it was futile to risk the lives of
soldiers by confronting the rebels, only to withdraw and allow them to
return once the objective had been achieved.”
Having once been Military Governor of
the then North-Eastern State, to which the present Borno State once
belonged (1975 – 1976), and having returned to successfully fight armed
rebels in that same area (1983), Buhari probably understands the
situation better than most of us and should be able to explain why he
thinks that a military response to threats to sovereignty was a good
decision in 1983 but is a bad one in 2013.
Clearly, in the last three decades, the
Northern part of Nigeria has never been free from
religious/ethno-religious agitation. Through the Shagari, Buhari,
Babangida and Abacha years, uprisings erupted regularly. From Maitatsine
(which was put down – or so we thought – by a military offensive
ordered by President Shehu Shagari, and which was very similar to the
one ordered by President Umaru Yar’Adua in 2009) to Kafanchan to
Zangon-Kataf to the El Zakzaky crises of the late ‘90s, the story of
Northern Nigeria has been one of persistent religious tension.
Starting in 1999 with Zamfara (following
the return of democracy), a number of Northern states began to
implement Sharia law. The seeds of Boko Haram were sown in those
conditions – the sect emerged around 2002, in Maiduguri, inspired by the
radical teachings of a young Islamic cleric, Muhammed Yusuf. Yusuf
preached a message of “Jihad”– a call to defend Islam from the
corrupting influence of secularism and the West. This, of course, must
have fit perfectly into the wider clamour for the implementation of
Sharia being pushed by many Northern governors at that time, who saw it
as an easy way to endear themselves to the populace (for the purposes of
getting a second term, I believe).
However, until 2009, hardly anyone
outside of Borno and Yobe states had heard of Boko Haram. I recently
attended a roundtable dialogue put together by The Kukah Centre in
Abuja, that brought together civil society groups and individuals to
discuss “Dissent, Revolt and Militant Religious Ideas in Muslim
Communities in Northern Nigeria.” One of the speakers made the point
that until 2009, Boko Haram remained a “small ragtag army” and that by
missing several “signposts” that might have pointed the way to
non-violent resolution, “it was the Nigerian State that radicalised
(Boko Haram).”
The argument – which is debatable – is
that it was the government that first went on the offensive, killing
them even in the absence of provocation, and arresting and detaining
their wives and children. (This explanation ties in to what activist
groups have been saying about gross human rights abuses by Nigerian
security forces, and the perception that the sympathy of many residents
of the affected areas is more likely to lie with Boko Haram than with
the Nigerian military).
Going by that argument, the resulting
attacks on military barracks, police stations and prisons – starting
with the five-day uprising in July 2009 that led to the death of the
sect’s leader, Yusuf – are the revenge acts of an embittered group on
those perceived as having victimised them. This might also explain why
Boko Haram in 2011 demanded apologies from the governors of Borno,
Bauchi and Gombe states, and has suggested that it should be the one
offering the Federal Government amnesty and not the other way round.
At the top of the list of government
blunders is the extrajudicial killing of Yusuf and his father-in-law,
Baba Fugu, in 2009 while in police custody. In his book, “Power,
Politics and Death”, Segun Adeniyi writes about the death of Yusuf.
Yusuf was arrested alive by the Army (there are mobile phone video
recordings as evidence), and handed over to the Police with nothing more
than an injury on his arm. Hours later, the police displayed a
bullet-ridden body, and then failed to make up their minds on exactly
how Yusuf had died. First, they said he had died while trying to escape.
Then, they said he died during an “exchange of fire” with the police,
at his hideout. Boko Haram has apparently never forgiven the Nigerian
State for those killings, and we can trace the escalation of their
insurgency to that.
There is also the political angle, which
I hinted at earlier. We now know that in the elections preceding 2009,
Northern politicians armed young men belonging to groups like Boko
Haram, deployed them to political ends (the same way Niger Delta
politicians armed the gangs that morphed into the militants that are now
enjoying the amnesty programme in the region), and then abandoned them
after the elections. It’s not rocket science – Give a man a gun instead
of a job, and the gun becomes the job.
The roundtable speaker I quoted earlier
picked out the Ali Modu Sheriff-led ANPP government (2003 – 2011) in
Borno State for special blame, pointing out that “there is a very strong
dose of anti-ANPP (sentiments] in the top echelons of Boko Haram.”
In the time since 2009, a lot has
happened. Boko Haram has become bolder. It has developed international
affiliations, enabling it access to funding, training, weaponry and new
members. It has also splintered, so that today there are several
strands, operating at different levels of radicalisation, and pushing
different agenda (the splintering is not new, according to Adeniyi, as
far back as 2004 a group broke off that called itself the Taliban,
capturing a village in Yobe, which it renamed “Afghanistan”)
And, of course, there’s also been the
infiltration of Boko Haram and its affiliates/splinter groups by purely
criminal interests, the ones who kidnap for ransom and attack banks for
cash.
Now that there are several interests
bunched up under the Boko Haram umbrella, it is a very complicated
issue, and the Presidency deserves some sympathy for what it has to
contend with on behalf of Nigeria.
So, what is the way forward? This is not
the time for blame-trading. Nigeria is already at war. My opinion is
that we should fight this ongoing “war” to the finish. I also believe
the Boko Haram issue ultimately deserves a multi-partisan approach –
government and the opposition putting aside all their differences and
cooperating to resolve the crisis.
On the basis of the seriousness and
urgency of Boko Haram, President Jonathan ought to end at once all the
“2015”battles he’s been fighting with state governors, and focus his
attention on the one battle that threatens to consume us all.
And the opposition too should stop
playing politics with this matter, crafting verbose, meaningless
statements faulting every move of the Federal Government.
After all, the APP/ANPP (now APC) has
controlled Yobe and Borno states since 1999, and should share in the
blame for superintending the transformation of Boko Haram into the
monster it now is.
In any case, if Boko Haram wins this current battle, there probably won’t even be a Nigeria to fight for at the polls in 2015.
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